2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Coastal Carolina @ Marshall
Predicted scoreLean
Coastal Carolina
21.6
Marshall
28.8
Marshall win probability: 67%
Margin (Marshall − Coastal Carolina): 7.1 (80% range -14 to 28)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:18 PM | 7.2 | 50.5 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:28 PM | 7.2 | 50.5 | 68% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:07 PM | 7.1 | 50.4 | 67% |