2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Marshall @ Georgia Southern
Predicted scoreToss-up
Marshall
30.6
Georgia Southern
29.8
Georgia Southern win probability: 47%
Margin (Georgia Southern − Marshall): -0.8 (80% range -21 to 21)
Total: 60.3 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.55% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.53% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:13 PM | -0.9 | 60.4 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:20 PM | -0.9 | 60.4 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:10 PM | -0.8 | 60.3 | 47% |