2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Allen E. Paulson Stadium
Marshall @ Georgia Southern
Predicted scoreLikely
Marshall
23.2
Georgia Southern
33.0
Georgia Southern win probability: 73%
Margin (Georgia Southern − Marshall): 9.8 (80% range -10 to 31)
Total: 56.2 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 31 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.70% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:13 PM | -0.9 | 60.4 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:20 PM | -0.9 | 60.4 | 47% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:10 PM | -0.8 | 60.3 | 47% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:15 AM | -0.9 | 60.3 | 47% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:56 PM | -0.9 | 60.3 | 47% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:19 PM | -1.2 | 60.1 | 47% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:09 PM | 2.3 | 58.7 | 56% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:50 PM | 4.7 | 53.0 | 62% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:24 PM | 4.8 | 53.0 | 62% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:29 PM | 5.1 | 53.0 | 63% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:13 PM | 5.2 | 53.0 | 63% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:59 PM | 3.4 | 56.4 | 58% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:29 PM | 5.1 | 56.3 | 62% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:15 PM | 7.7 | 56.2 | 68% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:56 PM | 9.8 | 56.2 | 73% |