2023 Week 2 · Sep 9, 2023, 11:00 PM · Center Parc Stadium
UConn @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreLikely
UConn
22.5
Georgia State
33.9
Georgia State win probability: 76%
Margin (Georgia State − UConn): 11.4 (80% range -10 to 32)
Total: 56.4 (80% range 33 to 82)
Actual: UConn 14 – Georgia State 35 (margin error 9.6, total error 7.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.