2023 Week 4 · Sep 21, 2023, 11:30 PM · Brooks Stadium (SC)

Georgia State @ Coastal Carolina

Predicted scoreToss-up

Georgia State

25.5

Coastal Carolina

28.5

Coastal Carolina win probability: 58%

Margin (Coastal Carolina − Georgia State): 3.0 (80% range -17 to 24)

Total: 54.0 (80% range 31 to 79)

Actual: Georgia State 30 – Coastal Carolina 17 (margin error 16.0, total error 7.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.