2026 Week 9 · Oct 31, 2026, 4:00 AM · Center Parc Stadium
Coastal Carolina @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreLean
Coastal Carolina
21.6
Georgia State
29.2
Georgia State win probability: 69%
Margin (Georgia State − Coastal Carolina): 7.6 (80% range -12 to 28)
Total: 50.7 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.74% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:59 PM | 1.6 | 49.7 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:03 PM | 1.6 | 49.7 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:32 PM | 1.6 | 49.7 | 54% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:30 AM | 1.6 | 49.7 | 54% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:34 PM | 1.7 | 49.7 | 54% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:53 PM | 0.3 | 50.2 | 50% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:56:24 PM | -0.3 | 49.9 | 49% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:04 PM | 1.3 | 50.6 | 53% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:39 PM | 1.4 | 50.6 | 53% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:53 AM | 1.5 | 50.6 | 54% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:24 PM | 1.5 | 50.6 | 54% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:17 PM | 4.8 | 52.2 | 62% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:13 PM | 8.7 | 51.3 | 71% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:34 PM | 7.3 | 50.8 | 68% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:32 PM | 7.6 | 50.7 | 69% |