2026 Week 13 · Nov 28, 2026, 5:00 AM · Center Parc Stadium
Louisiana @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Louisiana
25.6
Georgia State
25.3
Georgia State win probability: 49%
Margin (Georgia State − Louisiana): -0.2 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 50.9 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:02 PM | -2.9 | 54.2 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:04 PM | -2.9 | 54.2 | 43% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:35 PM | -2.9 | 54.2 | 43% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:49 AM | -3.0 | 54.3 | 42% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:08 PM | -3.0 | 54.2 | 42% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:46 PM | -2.7 | 53.9 | 43% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:18 PM | -1.8 | 53.6 | 46% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:26 PM | -2.5 | 54.3 | 43% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:43:04 PM | -2.5 | 54.4 | 43% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:12 PM | -2.2 | 54.3 | 44% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:30 PM | -2.2 | 54.3 | 44% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:31 PM | -2.6 | 51.1 | 44% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:48 PM | 0.5 | 50.6 | 51% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:01 PM | 1.0 | 51.7 | 52% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:05 PM | -0.2 | 50.9 | 49% |