2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · Bridgeforth Stadium
Georgia State @ James Madison
Predicted scoreConfident
Georgia State
14.8
James Madison
38.0
James Madison win probability: 93%
Margin (James Madison − Georgia State): 23.2 (80% range 3 to 44)
Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.83% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.80% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:32 PM | 23.2 | 52.8 | 93% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:40 PM | 23.2 | 52.8 | 93% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:09 PM | 23.2 | 52.8 | 93% |