2026 Week 11 · Nov 14, 2026, 5:00 AM · Center Parc Stadium
Georgia Southern @ Georgia State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Georgia Southern
30.6
Georgia State
28.8
Georgia State win probability: 45%
Margin (Georgia State − Georgia Southern): -1.9 (80% range -23 to 19)
Total: 59.4 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 31 | 28 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.56% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:28 PM | -1.9 | 59.4 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:34 PM | -1.9 | 59.4 | 45% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:02 PM | -1.9 | 59.4 | 45% |