2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 11:00 PM · Fifth Third Stadium
Georgia State @ Kennesaw State
Predicted scoreLean
Georgia State
23.6
Kennesaw State
29.6
Kennesaw State win probability: 65%
Margin (Kennesaw State − Georgia State): 6.0 (80% range -14 to 26)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 30 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:22 PM | 5.8 | 53.4 | 64% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:31 PM | 6.2 | 53.5 | 65% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:40 PM | 6.0 | 53.2 | 65% |