2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 10:00 PM · S.B. Ballard Stadium
East Carolina @ Old Dominion
Predicted scoreToss-up
East Carolina
24.7
Old Dominion
26.4
Old Dominion win probability: 54%
Margin (Old Dominion − East Carolina): 1.7 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:37 PM | 1.5 | 50.8 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:43 PM | 1.5 | 51.0 | 54% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:27:17 PM | 1.7 | 51.0 | 54% |