2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Kidd Brewer Stadium
Old Dominion @ App State
Predicted scoreLikely
Old Dominion
30.5
App State
20.5
App State win probability: 27%
Margin (App State − Old Dominion): -10.0 (80% range -31 to 10)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 10 | 0.66% |
| 21 | 14 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:13 PM | -9.9 | 51.0 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:28 PM | -10.0 | 51.0 | 27% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:30 PM | -10.0 | 51.0 | 27% |