2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Brooks Stadium (SC)
Old Dominion @ Coastal Carolina
Predicted scoreToss-up
Old Dominion
22.0
Coastal Carolina
21.7
Coastal Carolina win probability: 50%
Margin (Coastal Carolina − Old Dominion): -0.2 (80% range -20 to 18)
Total: 43.7 (80% range 23 to 66)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.88% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.80% |
| 14 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 14 | 17 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:12 PM | -11.4 | 44.9 | 22% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:20 PM | -11.4 | 45.0 | 22% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:59 PM | -11.3 | 44.9 | 22% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:49:25 AM | -11.3 | 44.9 | 22% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:58 PM | -11.3 | 45.0 | 22% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:03:12 PM | -11.4 | 45.0 | 22% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:13 PM | -9.5 | 45.7 | 27% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:59:33 PM | -6.3 | 45.9 | 34% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:41:23 PM | -6.3 | 45.9 | 34% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:00:26 PM | -5.7 | 44.9 | 35% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:59 PM | -5.7 | 44.9 | 35% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:00 PM | -4.9 | 44.0 | 37% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:27 PM | -1.8 | 42.6 | 45% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:43:23 PM | -1.1 | 42.3 | 47% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:59 PM | -0.2 | 43.7 | 50% |