2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Joe Aillet Stadium
Old Dominion @ Louisiana Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Old Dominion
17.8
Louisiana Tech
26.7
Louisiana Tech win probability: 72%
Margin (Louisiana Tech − Old Dominion): 8.9 (80% range -10 to 28)
Total: 44.4 (80% range 24 to 66)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.77% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.75% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.75% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.70% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:47 PM | -5.1 | 47.5 | 37% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:56 PM | -5.1 | 47.5 | 37% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:54 PM | -5.1 | 47.5 | 37% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:48:03 AM | -5.1 | 47.5 | 37% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:02 PM | -5.2 | 47.5 | 37% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:02:11 PM | -5.3 | 47.8 | 37% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:40 PM | -3.8 | 47.7 | 40% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:34 PM | -1.4 | 45.5 | 46% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:09 PM | -1.4 | 45.5 | 46% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:25 AM | -1.2 | 45.4 | 47% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:07 PM | -1.2 | 45.4 | 47% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:53 PM | 1.2 | 43.1 | 53% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:47 PM | 5.2 | 44.9 | 63% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:12 PM | 6.6 | 45.7 | 67% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:08 PM | 8.9 | 44.4 | 72% |