2023 Week 6 · Oct 6, 2023, 12:00 AM · Joe Aillet Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreLikely

Western Kentucky

31.4

Louisiana Tech

20.6

Louisiana Tech win probability: 25%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − Western Kentucky): -10.8 (80% range -31 to 10)

Total: 52.0 (80% range 30 to 76)

Actual: Western Kentucky 35 – Louisiana Tech 28 (margin error 3.8, total error 11.0)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.