2023 Week 3 · Sep 16, 2023, 8:00 PM · Ohio Stadium
Western Kentucky @ Ohio State
Predicted scoreConfident
Western Kentucky
17.5
Ohio State
39.3
Ohio State win probability: 91%
Margin (Ohio State − Western Kentucky): 21.8 (80% range 1 to 43)
Total: 56.9 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Western Kentucky 10 – Ohio State 63 (margin error 31.2, total error 16.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 14 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 45 | 0.65% |
| 14 | 35 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.