2023 Week 10 · Nov 5, 2023, 1:00 AM · Sun Bowl
Western Kentucky @ UTEP
Predicted scoreLean
Western Kentucky
30.6
UTEP
22.6
UTEP win probability: 30%
Margin (UTEP − Western Kentucky): -8.0 (80% range -28 to 11)
Total: 53.2 (80% range 30 to 78)
Actual: Western Kentucky 21 – UTEP 13 (margin error 0.0, total error 19.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 21 | 0.68% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.