2025 Week 14 · Nov 29, 2025, 7:00 PM · AmFirst Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Jacksonville State

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Kentucky

25.8

Jacksonville State

27.3

Jacksonville State win probability: 54%

Margin (Jacksonville State − Western Kentucky): 1.5 (80% range -19 to 21)

Total: 53.1 (80% range 30 to 78)

Actual: Western Kentucky 34 – Jacksonville State 37 (margin error 1.5, total error 17.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.