2025 Week 8 · Oct 15, 2025, 12:00 AM · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Florida International @ Western Kentucky

Predicted scoreLikely

Florida International

18.6

Western Kentucky

31.2

Western Kentucky win probability: 79%

Margin (Western Kentucky − Florida International): 12.6 (80% range -7 to 32)

Total: 49.9 (80% range 28 to 73)

Actual: Florida International 25 – Western Kentucky 6 (margin error 31.6, total error 18.9)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.