2025 Week 9 · Oct 21, 2025, 11:30 PM · Joe Aillet Stadium

Western Kentucky @ Louisiana Tech

Predicted scoreToss-up

Western Kentucky

24.0

Louisiana Tech

26.3

Louisiana Tech win probability: 56%

Margin (Louisiana Tech − Western Kentucky): 2.3 (80% range -18 to 23)

Total: 50.3 (80% range 28 to 74)

Actual: Western Kentucky 28 – Louisiana Tech 27 (margin error 3.3, total error 4.7)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.