2026 Week 2 · Sep 12, 2026, 4:45 PM · Sanford Stadium
Western Kentucky @ Georgia
Predicted scoreConfident
Western Kentucky
10.4
Georgia
42.4
Georgia win probability: 98%
Margin (Georgia − Western Kentucky): 32.0 (80% range 12 to 52)
Total: 52.9 (80% range 31 to 76)
Actual: Western Kentucky 20 – Georgia 70 (margin error 18.0, total error 37.1)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 38 | 1.13% |
| 7 | 45 | 1.07% |
| 10 | 45 | 1.02% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.95% |
| 7 | 31 | 0.94% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:20 PM | 26.7 | 52.8 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:25 PM | 26.7 | 53.0 | 96% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:27 PM | 26.7 | 52.8 | 96% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:43:40 AM | 26.7 | 52.7 | 96% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:02:01 PM | 27.3 | 52.7 | 96% |
| 9/8/2026, 5:57:46 PM | 28.3 | 51.7 | 97% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:51:54 PM | 32.0 | 52.9 | 98% |