2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
Western Kentucky @ Middle Tennessee
Predicted scoreLean
Western Kentucky
31.9
Middle Tennessee
24.9
Middle Tennessee win probability: 33%
Margin (Middle Tennessee − Western Kentucky): -7.0 (80% range -28 to 14)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 28 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 28 | 17 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:17 PM | -7.0 | 56.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:23 PM | -7.0 | 56.8 | 33% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:18 PM | -7.0 | 56.8 | 33% |