Sam's Scores

2026 Week 6 · Oct 8, 2026, 11:00 PM · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium

Missouri State @ Western Kentucky

Predicted scoreToss-up
Missouri State
23.5
Western Kentucky
27.5
Western Kentucky win probability: 60%
Margin (Western Kentucky − Missouri State): 4.0 (80% range -16 to 24)
Total: 51.0 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
AwayHomeProbability
24240.84%
24310.70%
17240.69%
21240.69%
24170.66%
Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.

Home score →Away score →
Prediction movement through the week
GeneratedPred. marginPred. totalHome win prob
8/13/2026, 8:55:26 PM4.051.060%
9/3/2026, 1:05:18 PM4.051.060%
9/3/2026, 2:28:58 PM4.051.060%