Missouri State

Conference USA

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Delaware	25.8–25.0	48%
Week 9	vs Sam Houston	22.5–27.8	63%
Week 10	@ Florida International	26.0–18.7	31%
Week 11	vs New Mexico State	24.5–25.3	52%
Week 12	@ Jacksonville State	28.5–24.2	39%
Week 13	vs Liberty	29.4–21.5	30%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	@ Texas A&M	50–0	38.7–13.3	24.6
Week 2	vs Lindenwood	14–48	—	—
Week 3	vs Marshall	30–24	25.8–26.0	6.2
Week 4	@ SMU	34–24	38.1–13.4	14.7
Week 6	@ Western Kentucky	34–13	24.8–23.6	19.8
Week 7	vs Kennesaw State	21–24	25.5–25.3	3.2