2026 Week 7 · Oct 14, 2026, 11:30 PM · Plaster Sports Complex
Kennesaw State @ Missouri State
Predicted scoreToss-up
Kennesaw State
24.8
Missouri State
27.4
Missouri State win probability: 56%
Margin (Missouri State − Kennesaw State): 2.7 (80% range -17 to 23)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.68% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.65% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:41 PM | 2.7 | 52.2 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:31 PM | 2.7 | 52.2 | 56% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:40 PM | 2.7 | 52.2 | 56% |