2026 Week 10 · Nov 7, 2026, 5:00 AM · Pitbull Stadium
Missouri State @ Florida International
Predicted scoreToss-up
Missouri State
24.7
Florida International
25.2
Florida International win probability: 51%
Margin (Florida International − Missouri State): 0.5 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 49.9 (80% range 27 to 74)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.78% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:13 PM | 0.5 | 49.9 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:24 PM | 0.5 | 49.9 | 51% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:19 PM | 0.5 | 49.9 | 51% |