2026 Week 1 · Sep 5, 2026, 11:00 PM · Kyle Field
Missouri State @ Texas A&M
Predicted scoreConfident
Missouri State
13.2
Texas A&M
38.9
Texas A&M win probability: 95%
Margin (Texas A&M − Missouri State): 25.7 (80% range 6 to 46)
Total: 52.2 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 31 | 1.03% |
| 7 | 38 | 0.90% |
| 10 | 38 | 0.86% |
| 10 | 35 | 0.83% |
| 7 | 35 | 0.75% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:15 PM | 25.6 | 52.1 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:18 PM | 25.5 | 52.1 | 95% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:09 PM | 25.7 | 52.2 | 95% |