2026 Week 8 · Oct 20, 2026, 11:00 PM · Delaware Stadium
Missouri State @ Delaware
Predicted scoreToss-up
Missouri State
27.6
Delaware
26.8
Delaware win probability: 48%
Margin (Delaware − Missouri State): -0.8 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 54.4 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:55 PM | -0.8 | 54.4 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:45 PM | -0.8 | 54.4 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:21 PM | -0.8 | 54.4 | 48% |