2026 Week 8 · Oct 20, 2026, 11:00 PM · Delaware Stadium
Missouri State @ Delaware
Predicted scoreToss-up
Missouri State
25.0
Delaware
25.8
Delaware win probability: 52%
Margin (Delaware − Missouri State): 0.8 (80% range -18 to 21)
Total: 50.8 (80% range 28 to 75)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 21 | 0.68% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:55 PM | -0.8 | 54.4 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:45 PM | -0.8 | 54.4 | 48% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:21 PM | -0.8 | 54.4 | 48% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:37 AM | -0.8 | 54.4 | 48% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:07 PM | -0.9 | 54.4 | 48% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:56 PM | -1.5 | 53.8 | 46% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:30 PM | 2.6 | 50.7 | 57% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:26 PM | 8.1 | 47.4 | 70% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:00 PM | 8.1 | 47.4 | 70% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:40 AM | 8.5 | 47.4 | 71% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:38:12 PM | 8.5 | 47.4 | 71% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:32:11 PM | 1.6 | 49.0 | 54% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:37 PM | -0.0 | 47.9 | 50% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:41:59 PM | 1.4 | 49.4 | 53% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:22:57 PM | 0.8 | 50.8 | 52% |