Sam Houston
Conference USA
2023 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2023
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | @ BYU | 14–0 | 36.5–23.3 | 0.8 |
| Week 2 | vs Air Force | 13–3 | 26.1–18.2 | 2.1 |
| Week 4 | @ Houston | 38–7 | 27.4–16.2 | 19.8 |
| Week 5 | vs Jacksonville State | 35–28 | 20.2–13.1 | 0.2 |
| Week 6 | @ Liberty | 21–16 | 27.6–17.5 | 5.1 |
| Week 7 | @ New Mexico State | 27–13 | 22.5–28.6 | 20.0 |
| Week 8 | vs Florida International | 33–27 | 17.2–27.8 | 16.5 |
| Week 9 | vs UTEP | 37–34 | 21.7–24.9 | 6.1 |
| Week 11 | @ Louisiana Tech | 27–42 | 27.4–24.4 | 18.0 |
| Week 12 | @ Western Kentucky | 28–23 | 29.9–21.3 | 3.6 |
| Week 13 | vs Middle Tennessee | 20–23 | 25.8–25.3 | 3.5 |