2023 Week 13 · Nov 25, 2023, 5:00 PM · Elliott T. Bowers Stadium

Middle Tennessee @ Sam Houston

Predicted scoreToss-up

Middle Tennessee

25.8

Sam Houston

25.3

Sam Houston win probability: 49%

Margin (Sam Houston − Middle Tennessee): -0.5 (80% range -21 to 20)

Total: 51.1 (80% range 28 to 76)

Actual: Middle Tennessee 20 – Sam Houston 23 (margin error 3.5, total error 8.1)

Most likely scorelines

Score distribution

A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.