2023 Week 4 · Sep 23, 2023, 11:00 PM · TDECU Stadium
Sam Houston @ Houston
Predicted scoreLikely
Sam Houston
16.2
Houston
27.4
Houston win probability: 77%
Margin (Houston − Sam Houston): 11.2 (80% range -7 to 31)
Total: 43.6 (80% range 23 to 66)
Actual: Sam Houston 7 – Houston 38 (margin error 19.8, total error 1.4)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 24 | 0.95% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.88% |
| 10 | 24 | 0.87% |
| 7 | 24 | 0.86% |
| 10 | 17 | 0.84% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.