Houston

Big 12

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	@ Utah	33.6–23.7	27%
Week 10	vs Cincinnati	26.5–35.1	70%
Week 11	@ Colorado	23.7–27.5	60%
Week 12	@ West Virginia	27.3–35.5	69%
Week 13	vs Baylor	27.8–30.9	58%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs Oregon State	20–33	18.1–34.1	2.9
Week 2	vs Southern	6–77	—	—
Week 3	@ Texas Tech	28–26	31.5–21.8	7.8
Week 4	@ Georgia Southern	28–42	21.8–32.3	3.6
Week 5	vs UCF	17–27	25.2–29.9	5.3
Week 6	@ Kansas State	16–35	30.4–26.5	22.9
Week 7	vs Oklahoma State	32–35	25.5–33.7	5.2