2026 Week 12 · Nov 21, 2026, 5:00 AM · Milan Puskar Stadium
Houston @ West Virginia
Predicted scoreToss-up
Houston
27.6
West Virginia
25.2
West Virginia win probability: 44%
Margin (West Virginia − Houston): -2.4 (80% range -23 to 18)
Total: 52.8 (80% range 30 to 77)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.67% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 21 | 17 | 0.58% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:57 PM | -2.4 | 52.9 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:53 PM | -2.4 | 52.8 | 44% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:37 PM | -2.4 | 52.8 | 44% |