Predicted scoreToss-up
Houston
27.5
Colorado
23.7
Colorado win probability: 40%
Margin (Colorado − Houston): -3.8 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 51.2 (80% range 28 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 21 | 0.65% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.65% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:28 PM | 2.1 | 52.9 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:29 PM | 2.1 | 52.9 | 55% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:32:33 PM | 2.1 | 52.9 | 55% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:50:17 AM | 2.1 | 52.9 | 55% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:05:16 PM | 2.1 | 52.9 | 55% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:04:11 PM | 2.1 | 52.3 | 55% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:57:43 PM | 4.3 | 52.1 | 61% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:00:04 PM | 2.6 | 53.0 | 56% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:05 PM | 2.5 | 53.0 | 56% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:01:04 PM | 2.7 | 53.0 | 57% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:39:21 PM | 2.7 | 53.0 | 57% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:33:26 PM | -2.8 | 52.3 | 43% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:47:49 PM | -4.0 | 51.3 | 40% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:44:00 PM | -5.5 | 50.4 | 36% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:24:05 PM | -3.8 | 51.2 | 40% |