2026 Week 7 · Oct 17, 2026, 4:00 AM · TDECU Stadium
Oklahoma State @ Houston
Predicted scoreLikely
Oklahoma State
19.9
Houston
34.0
Houston win probability: 81%
Margin (Houston − Oklahoma State): 14.1 (80% range -7 to 35)
Total: 53.9 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.77% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.71% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 21 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:31 PM | 14.1 | 53.8 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:37 PM | 14.1 | 53.9 | 81% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:01 PM | 14.1 | 53.9 | 81% |