2026 Week 6 · Oct 10, 2026, 4:00 AM · Bill Snyder Family Stadium
Houston @ Kansas State
Predicted scoreLean
Houston
21.7
Kansas State
28.7
Kansas State win probability: 67%
Margin (Kansas State − Houston): 7.0 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 50.4 (80% range 28 to 73)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.76% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.67% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:17 PM | 6.9 | 50.4 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:24 PM | 6.9 | 50.4 | 67% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:29:16 PM | 7.0 | 50.4 | 67% |