Predicted scoreToss-up
Baylor
26.0
Houston
30.1
Houston win probability: 60%
Margin (Houston − Baylor): 4.1 (80% range -17 to 25)
Total: 56.0 (80% range 31 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 28 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.62% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:02 PM | 4.1 | 56.0 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:07:11 PM | 4.1 | 56.0 | 60% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:22 PM | 4.1 | 56.0 | 60% |