Predicted scoreLikely
Houston
19.7
Utah
34.8
Utah win probability: 83%
Margin (Utah − Houston): 15.1 (80% range -6 to 35)
Total: 54.5 (80% range 31 to 79)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 14 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.73% |
| 17 | 35 | 0.69% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.66% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.66% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:54 PM | 15.1 | 54.6 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:48 PM | 15.1 | 54.5 | 83% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:40 PM | 15.1 | 54.5 | 83% |