2026 Week 3 · Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM · Jones AT&T Stadium
Houston @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
Houston
19.3
Texas Tech
32.3
Texas Tech win probability: 79%
Margin (Texas Tech − Houston): 13.0 (80% range -7 to 33)
Total: 51.6 (80% range 30 to 76)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 31 | 0.81% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.64% |
| 10 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.62% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:54:42 PM | 12.9 | 51.6 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:04:35 PM | 12.9 | 51.5 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:26:56 PM | 13.0 | 51.6 | 79% |