Houston
Big 12
2025 rating history
Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.
Past prediction accuracy — 2025
| Week | Opponent | Actual | Predicted | Margin error |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 2 | @ Rice | 9–35 | 16.7–30.0 | 12.7 |
| Week 3 | vs Colorado | 20–36 | 26.3–25.5 | 16.8 |
| Week 5 | @ Oregon State | 24–27 | 25.7–33.6 | 4.9 |
| Week 6 | vs Texas Tech | 35–11 | 26.0–23.6 | 21.5 |
| Week 7 | @ Oklahoma State | 17–39 | 20.3–32.6 | 9.7 |
| Week 8 | vs Arizona | 28–31 | 25.3–26.0 | 2.2 |
| Week 9 | @ Arizona State | 16–24 | 30.3–23.7 | 14.6 |
| Week 10 | vs West Virginia | 45–35 | 22.9–30.4 | 17.6 |
| Week 11 | @ UCF | 27–30 | 27.7–25.1 | 5.6 |
| Week 13 | vs TCU | 17–14 | 29.1–26.1 | 0.0 |
| Week 14 | @ Baylor | 24–31 | 29.4–27.3 | 9.1 |
| Week 1 | vs LSU | 35–38 | 31.6–19.1 | 15.5 |