Predicted scoreToss-up
Houston
27.3
Baylor
29.4
Baylor win probability: 55%
Margin (Baylor − Houston): 2.1 (80% range -18 to 23)
Total: 56.8 (80% range 34 to 82)
Actual: Houston 31 – Baylor 24 (margin error 9.1, total error 1.8)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 21 | 0.73% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.67% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.