2025 Week 10 · Nov 1, 2025, 4:00 PM · TDECU Stadium
West Virginia @ Houston
Predicted scoreLean
West Virginia
22.9
Houston
30.4
Houston win probability: 68%
Margin (Houston − West Virginia): 7.6 (80% range -13 to 28)
Total: 53.3 (80% range 30 to 78)
Actual: West Virginia 45 – Houston 35 (margin error 17.6, total error 26.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.74% |
| 17 | 28 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 21 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.