Predicted scoreToss-up
Colorado
26.3
Houston
25.5
Houston win probability: 48%
Margin (Houston − Colorado): -0.8 (80% range -21 to 20)
Total: 51.8 (80% range 30 to 76)
Actual: Colorado 20 – Houston 36 (margin error 16.8, total error 4.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | 17 | 0.72% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.69% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.65% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.63% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.