Predicted scoreLikely
Houston
30.0
Rice
16.7
Rice win probability: 19%
Margin (Rice − Houston): -13.3 (80% range -34 to 7)
Total: 46.7 (80% range 26 to 69)
Actual: Houston 35 – Rice 9 (margin error 12.7, total error 2.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 10 | 0.86% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.82% |
| 24 | 14 | 0.78% |
| 24 | 7 | 0.77% |
| 31 | 10 | 0.76% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.