Predicted scoreToss-up
Arizona
25.3
Houston
26.0
Houston win probability: 52%
Margin (Houston − Arizona): 0.8 (80% range -20 to 21)
Total: 51.3 (80% range 28 to 76)
Actual: Arizona 28 – Houston 31 (margin error 2.2, total error 7.7)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.80% |
| 17 | 24 | 0.69% |
| 21 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 17 | 21 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.