Predicted scoreToss-up
TCU
29.1
Houston
26.1
Houston win probability: 43%
Margin (Houston − TCU): -3.0 (80% range -24 to 17)
Total: 55.2 (80% range 31 to 80)
Actual: TCU 17 – Houston 14 (margin error 0.0, total error 24.2)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.78% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.70% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 17 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.61% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.