TCU

Big 12

2026 rating history

Point-in-time, recency-weighted opponent-adjusted efficiency — recomputed each week from strictly-prior games only.

Upcoming forecasts

Week	Opponent	Predicted score	Win prob
Week 8	vs West Virginia	21.8–33.9	77%
Week 9	vs Kansas	22.0–26.8	62%
Week 10	@ Arizona	27.8–22.7	37%
Week 11	vs Kansas State	24.2–26.7	56%
Week 12	vs Utah	27.4–22.1	37%
Week 13	@ Texas Tech	28.7–20.2	29%

Past prediction accuracy — 2026

Week	Opponent	Actual	Predicted	Margin error
Week 1	vs North Carolina	15–10	20.2–34.3	19.1
Week 2	vs Grambling	7–63	—	—
Week 3	vs Arkansas State	7–31	17.1–39.6	1.5
Week 4	@ UCF	21–13	24.4–27.8	11.5
Week 5	vs BYU	17–10	25.6–24.1	5.5
Week 7	@ Baylor	6–17	28.7–24.4	15.3