2026 Week 8 · Oct 24, 2026, 4:00 AM · Amon G. Carter Stadium
West Virginia @ TCU
Predicted scoreLikely
West Virginia
21.8
TCU
33.9
TCU win probability: 77%
Margin (TCU − West Virginia): 12.0 (80% range -8 to 32)
Total: 55.7 (80% range 33 to 80)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.63% |
| 17 | 38 | 0.61% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.59% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:55:51 PM | 12.9 | 55.4 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:05:49 PM | 12.9 | 55.4 | 79% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:30:37 PM | 12.9 | 55.4 | 79% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:47:52 AM | 12.9 | 55.4 | 79% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:04:16 PM | 12.9 | 55.4 | 79% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:01:44 PM | 11.8 | 55.3 | 77% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:55:55 PM | 11.8 | 54.0 | 77% |
| 9/13/2026, 2:58:43 PM | 11.8 | 53.8 | 77% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:40:18 PM | 11.8 | 53.8 | 77% |
| 9/27/2026, 11:59:46 AM | 11.9 | 53.9 | 77% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:37:57 PM | 12.0 | 53.9 | 77% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:31:58 PM | 9.8 | 55.6 | 72% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:46:45 PM | 8.8 | 56.2 | 71% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:42:17 PM | 10.5 | 55.3 | 74% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:23:10 PM | 12.0 | 55.7 | 77% |