Predicted scoreToss-up
Utah
29.7
TCU
26.6
TCU win probability: 42%
Margin (TCU − Utah): -3.1 (80% range -24 to 18)
Total: 56.3 (80% range 33 to 82)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.71% |
| 31 | 24 | 0.68% |
| 31 | 31 | 0.61% |
| 24 | 17 | 0.60% |
| 31 | 17 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:53 PM | -3.1 | 56.3 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:48 PM | -3.1 | 56.3 | 42% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:33:22 PM | -3.1 | 56.3 | 42% |