Predicted scoreLean
Kansas
27.3
TCU
32.7
TCU win probability: 63%
Margin (TCU − Kansas): 5.4 (80% range -15 to 27)
Total: 60.1 (80% range 35 to 86)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | 24 | 0.64% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.59% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.57% |
| 24 | 28 | 0.56% |
| 24 | 38 | 0.55% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:56:06 PM | 5.4 | 60.0 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:07 PM | 5.4 | 60.1 | 63% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:31:18 PM | 5.4 | 60.1 | 63% |