2026 Week 13 · Nov 27, 2026, 1:00 AM · Jones AT&T Stadium
TCU @ Texas Tech
Predicted scoreLikely
TCU
20.2
Texas Tech
28.7
Texas Tech win probability: 71%
Margin (Texas Tech − TCU): 8.5 (80% range -11 to 28)
Total: 48.9 (80% range 27 to 72)
Most likely scorelines
| Away | Home | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | 24 | 0.83% |
| 24 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 14 | 24 | 0.66% |
| 24 | 31 | 0.66% |
| 17 | 31 | 0.60% |
Score distribution
A smooth approximation from the simulator's margin/total moments — see the methodology page for why this isn't the raw simulated draws.
Darker = more likely. The dot marks the predicted score; the dashed line is where home and away are tied.
Prediction movement through the week
| Generated | Pred. margin | Pred. total | Home win prob |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8/13/2026, 8:57:10 PM | 9.3 | 51.9 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 1:06:59 PM | 9.3 | 51.9 | 72% |
| 9/3/2026, 2:34:02 PM | 9.3 | 51.9 | 72% |
| 9/4/2026, 10:51:30 AM | 9.3 | 51.9 | 72% |
| 9/6/2026, 2:06:11 PM | 9.3 | 52.0 | 72% |
| 9/8/2026, 6:05:59 PM | 9.1 | 51.8 | 72% |
| 9/11/2026, 12:59:32 PM | 10.8 | 50.2 | 75% |
| 9/13/2026, 3:01:13 PM | 8.2 | 51.0 | 70% |
| 9/20/2026, 2:42:52 PM | 8.2 | 51.0 | 69% |
| 9/27/2026, 12:02:21 PM | 8.2 | 51.0 | 70% |
| 9/27/2026, 3:40:39 PM | 8.2 | 51.0 | 69% |
| 10/1/2026, 5:34:35 PM | 7.8 | 50.9 | 69% |
| 10/4/2026, 3:48:55 PM | 9.7 | 49.2 | 73% |
| 10/11/2026, 4:45:06 PM | 10.2 | 49.4 | 74% |
| 10/18/2026, 2:25:07 PM | 8.5 | 48.9 | 71% |